Longest Session. Ever.

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Just finished a marathon 8 hour session 18 tabling 25NL full ring for 7 of those and 6 tabling for a sweat session with another 2p2er. Time flies. Just under 6k hands.

I was up just over 10 buyins after 5 hours. Then I went on a downswing and lost 3 all in pots, 2 when my set got outdrawn and 1 where my million out draw didn't hit. This resulted in me spewing 2 more buyins. Took a washroom break and came back un-tilted to finish up a total of 7 buyins.

I'm not tired of poker yet amazingly, so I'm off to play some 6 max. I need 60 more VPPs to get back to Platinum - Yeah!

Grinding 25NL for the rest of the month

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I'm going to pad my bankroll playing 25NL again for the rest of the month and perhaps the first week of October. Then I am going to take another shot at 50NL. I would ideally like to work with a 40 buyin minimum which I am sitting at right now for 50NL.

Today and last night went quite well. 4 buyins last night in 3 hours, 5 buyins today in 1 hour. I was surprised to finish up for the session last night after starting out getting dealt 3 monster draws that I shoved on the flop and bricked 6 cards in a row with 45-60% equity each time. I have nearly recovered from my epic failure at 50NL at the beginning of the week. I'm at work, so I'll post some HHs in this post from today when I get home.

10NL video is going to have to wait until next week when I'm on day shift. I can play quite well in the mornings and there's lots of tables going, but putting my thoughts into words when I'm still kind of half asleep in terms of motor skills isn't the best idea.

Some hands from this afternoon's session:

I think this hand is a good example of pot control. Villain was 15/10/2 and I put him on a pocket pair or a flush draw - but I reduced the chance of the flush draw since I have Ah. I obviously lose value on the turn if he has a flush draw, but the thought of getting check-raised there makes me sick. I could have bet $6 on the turn and gotten c/r by a set or c/c by a pocket pair. But that pocket pair is folding the river anyways but he will probably c/c $6 on the river if I check behind the turn. So I save my stack when I'm behind and I make the same amount when I'm ahead.

By checking here we accomplish several objectives:
1) We keep the pot smaller with a small hand.
2) We still win ~$6 when we have the best hand.
3) We keep most of our stack when we're behind.
4) We induce a river bluff.
5) We get to see a showdown for $6 and a chance of winning instead of paying $6 on the turn and possibly not getting to showdown.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG+1: $24.30
Hero (MP): $25.00
CO: $10.55
BTN: $25.40
SB: $22.40
BB: $25.00
UTG: $65.15

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP with A A
UTG calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, SB calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG calls $1

Flop: ($4.00) 4 2 9 (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $2.75, SB calls $2.75, UTG folds

Turn: ($9.50) 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($9.50) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $6, Hero calls $6

Final Pot: $21.50
Hero mucks A A
SB shows 2 2 (three of a kind, Deuces)
SB wins $20.45
(Rake: $1.05)

This hand is against a 70/20/4 drooler. limp/call preflop and 1/2 PSB donk on the flop is just asking "Am I good?" I just call to say "Yes." Turn is a brick and safe to raise for value here and before he knows it he's called a small reraise and he's committed. River is kind of a sick card but his range is really wide and he'll have a lot of Jx besides just QJ.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $24.25
BB: $24.40
UTG: $22.20
UTG+1: $25.20
Hero (MP1): $25.50
MP2: $32.75
CO: $4.30
BTN: $24.65

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is MP1 with A A
UTG calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.25, 3 folds, SB calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG calls $1

Flop: ($4.00) 4 J 6 (3 players)
SB checks, UTG bets $1.75, Hero calls $1.75, SB folds

Turn: ($7.50) 7 (2 players)
UTG bets $2.50, Hero raises to $6.50, UTG calls $4

River: ($20.50) Q (2 players)
UTG bets $3.75, Hero raises to $16 all in, UTG calls $8.95 all in

Final Pot: $45.90
UTG mucks J K
Hero shows A A (a pair of Aces)
Hero wins $43.70
(Rake: $2.20)

I really debated folding the turn here. I just kept thinking this has to be AhQx and I also induced a bluff from any Ahxx hand though so I made the call. Unlucky river for him. I don't know what's up with everyone at 25NL cold calling QQ preflop making it multiway. Not smart.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP2: $18.90
CO: $7.90
BTN: $29.15
SB: $30.10
BB: $9.25
Hero (UTG): $24.80
UTG+1: $3.95
MP1: $24.10

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with K K
Hero raises to $1, 1 fold, MP1 calls $1, MP2 calls $1, 3 folds, BB calls $0.75

Flop: ($4.10) Q 6 4 (4 players)
BB bets $0.25, Hero raises to $3.50, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $3.50, BB folds

Turn: ($11.35) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $14.40 all in, Hero calls $14.40

River: ($40.15) J (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $40.15
MP2 mucks Q Q
Hero shows K K (a flush, King high)
Hero wins $38.20
(Rake: $1.95)

I'm kind of torn on how to play these hands where I have a very good top pair plus a very good flush draw. I think there is a fine line in that you definately want to keep them in because you're probably already holding the best hand and if you hit your draw you will be holding an even better best hand so your equity is huge. I suppose my thought process is that I might get 1/2 a stack with top pair, but if I can get them to hit a lower flush or if they have a set and I hit I get their whole stack. Ideally I get this in on the flop if at all possible but I would actually prefer to play the turn and river a lot of the time because I'm not scared of a whole lot of cards except for the fact that they can kill my action and I seem to be better at extracting value on the turn than on pushing the action on the flop with my style.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG+2: $5.00
MP1: $34.75
MP2: $26.05
CO: $15.00
BTN: $33.85
SB: $24.40
BB: $16.25
UTG: $22.55
Hero (UTG+1): $25.00

CO posts a big blind ($0.25)
Pre Flop: ($0.60) Hero is UTG+1 with Q K
1 fold, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, MP1 calls $1.25, 3 folds, SB calls $1.15, BB calls $1

Flop: ($5.25) Q 7 2 (4 players)
SB checks, BB bets $1, Hero raises to $4, MP1 folds, SB folds, BB calls $3

Turn: ($13.25) T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($13.25) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $12.50, BB calls $11 all in

Final Pot: $35.25
BB mucks Q J
Hero shows Q K (a flush, King high)
Hero wins $33.55
(Rake: $1.70)

Read some books

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I finished NLTAP last week. Best. Book Ever. I am going to re-read it next week. And probably next month, too. I forced myself to skip one section: the turn and river bluffing section as per the warning saying Do Not Try This at Home Kids! since I play 25NL and people don't understand what they're seeing anyways.

I'm currently reading Schoonmaker's Your Best Poker Friend. I read his Your Own Worst Poker Enemy last month which I found thoroughly helpful to control my emotions. This one is more about exploiting your opponents, putting them on tilt, etc.

I also read an excellent book at work this week. Sun Tzu's The Art fo War. You can get all sorts of free public domain e-books like this one on Project Gutenberg's website. It's amazing how a 6th century B.C. book can address so many issues that not only still apply to modern warfare, but actually also apply directly to poker.

Some samples:

1. Sun Tzu said: The good fighters of old first put themselves beyond the possibility of defeat, and then waited for an opportunity of defeating the enemy.

2. To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.

3. Thus the good fighter is able to secure himself against defeat, but cannot make certain of defeating the enemy.

4. Hence the saying: One may know how to conquer without being able to do it.

5. Security against defeat implies defensive tactics; ability to defeat the enemy means taking the offensive.

6. Standing on the defensive indicates insufficient strength; attacking, a superabundance of strength.

7. The general who is skilled in defense hides in the most secret recesses of the earth; he who is skilled in attack flashes forth from the topmost heights of heaven. Thus on the one hand we have ability to protect ourselves; on the other, a victory that is complete...

... 13. He wins his battles by making no mistakes. Making no mistakes is what establishes the certainty of victory, for it means conquering an enemy that is already defeated.

14. Hence the skillful fighter puts himself into a position which makes defeat impossible, and does not miss the moment for defeating the enemy.

15. Thus it is that in war the victorious strategist only seeks battle after the victory has been won, whereas he who is destined to defeat first fights and afterwards looks for victory.

16. The consummate leader cultivates the moral law, and strictly adheres to method and discipline; thus it is in his power to control success...

... 17. Simulated disorder postulates perfect discipline, simulated fear postulates courage; simulated weakness postulates strength.

18. Hiding order beneath the cloak of disorder is simply a question of subdivision; concealing courage under a show of timidity presupposes a fund of latent energy; masking strength with weakness is to be effected by tactical dispositions.

19. Thus one who is skillful at keeping the enemy on the move maintains deceitful appearances, according to which the enemy will act. He sacrifices something, that the enemy may snatch at it.

20. By holding out baits, he keeps him on the march; then with a body of picked men he lies in wait for him...

This was my favorite:

12. There are five dangerous faults which may affect a general:
(1) Recklessness, which leads to destruction;
(2) cowardice, which leads to capture;
(3) a hasty temper, which can be provoked by insults;
(4) a delicacy of honor which is sensitive to shame;
(5) over-solicitude for his men, which exposes him to worry and trouble.


My translation for the tables:

12. There are five dangerous faults which may affect a poker player:
(1) Recklessness, which leads to spewing;
(2) cowardice, which leads to weak-tight play;
(3) tilt, which can be provoked by insults;
(4) making plays to defend your ego, rather than +EV plays
(5) over-solicitude for his chips, which exposes him to worry and trouble.

Took a shot - epic fail

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I took a shot at 100NL today which went fairly well to start with. Then I started running into sets and setup hands. I got into my "they're playing back at me" mode and spewed a few buyins unfortunately.

So when I got back from work I fired up 24 tables of 25NL and got back $100+ in a couple hours. Apparently this evening's session was hot for me as HEM says my total profit is $103 but my $EV is -$30 lol. This is mostly due to these 3 hands where I got money in terribly bad:

Hand #1 Is standard dont fold KK PF. I dont like my bet sizing at all, but it worked out for once with me winning when the board goes to 4 flush.
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

Hero (SB): $24.75
BB: $15.00
UTG: $14.00
UTG+1: $21.15
MP: $8.95
CO: $24.50
BTN: $14.65

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with K K
UTG raises to $0.50, UTG+1 raises to $1.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $5, 1 fold, UTG calls $4.50, UTG+1 raises to $21.15 all in, Hero calls $16.15, UTG calls $9 all in

Flop: ($56.55) J 6 2 (3 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: ($56.55) 9 (3 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($56.55) 9 (3 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $56.55
Hero shows K K (a flush, King high)
UTG mucks T T
UTG+1 mucks A A
Hero wins $13.60
Hero wins $40.15
(Rake: $2.80)

Hand #2 This hand was pretty lol. This guy was an aggro donk and I actually put him on complete air. 3 outer is good!
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP1: $25.00
MP2: $22.45
CO: $5.85
Hero (BTN): $23.90
SB: $28.50
BB: $10.75
UTG: $14.25
UTG+1: $18.90

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with T 8
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, MP1 calls $1

Flop: ($2.85) 8 5 2 (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $2, MP1 raises to $5, Hero calls $3

Turn: ($12.85) J (2 players)
MP1 bets $18.75 all in, Hero calls $17.65 all in

River: ($48.15) 8 (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $48.15
MP1 shows Q Q (two pair, Queens and Eights)
Hero shows T 8 (three of a kind, Eights)
Hero wins $45.80
(Rake: $2.35)

Hand #3 Decided to go with my combo draw after he gave me nice odds preflop. Im 43% on the flop against any 1 pair hand so with the money in the pot, this is an easy shove.
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG: $31.60
UTG+1: $22.20
UTG+2: $11.90
MP1: $31.95
MP2: $25.50
Hero (CO): $26.85
BTN: $14.70
SB: $28.20
BB: $9.65

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with 9 T
5 folds, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, BB raises to $2, Hero calls $1

Flop: ($4.10) 8 6 K (2 players)
BB bets $3, Hero raises to $12.75, BB calls $4.65 all in

Turn: ($19.40) 4 (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($19.40) 7 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $19.40
Hero shows 9 T (a flush, King high)
BB shows A A (a pair of Aces)
Hero wins $18.45
(Rake: $0.95)

I wish I got home a bit earlier, the games really dry up after 1:00 EST. At least I'm finally comfortable running the max number of tables on Stars. I'll have 1 or 2 tables time out occasionally if I have a bit of a decision somewhere else but otherwise I can keep them all going. And that will get me very close to Supernova if I can do it for the rest of the year.

I think I am going to make that my goal and forget about really moving up until next year. I won't be able to really work on my game at all 24 tabling, so it's a choice between that and just making auto-pilot money and getting the 3.5x multiplier for next year, which I think will be worth a lot to me. I would hate to have to start over in January and wait until May or June to move up the VIP ladder.

Racked my brain at work to figure out what to do. I decided to add WtSD to my HUD so that I can see who I can push around and who I can't and who is going to pay off my spec hands. I had only been using fold to flop cbet and fold to turn cbet until now. WtSD converges fairly slowly, but I think I get an idea of how the player is playing at least in the shortrun on the current table and I used it to push a few guys off of likely top pair hands.

Aggression. This is what I need to work on. And applying it at the right time to avoid spewing.

The poll results for which concept or theory is most valuable to your game are:
Pot Control - 4 (66%)
Baluga Theorem - 1 (16%)
Other - 1 (16%) no comment left
Zeebo - 0
SPR - 0

Im quite surprised that SPR did not get any votes. I know its tough to use it in 100BB games, but I still find it helpful. Pot control and Baluga are definately 2 of my favorites and have saved me a lot of money.

* Some of the text in this post is messed up in terms of grammar and punctuation. My keyboard still likes to switch to Spanish once in a while so instead of an apostrophe, I get a รจ.

Small heater

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I finally broke out of my slump over the past few days. I've been on a heater for 5 days and I'm up 18 buyins at 25NL in a little more than 10k hands. I'm not sure what's changed but I seem to have gotten back into that state of mind that I had in this post. The card dead stretches tend to get me out of that state of mind. The games have also been excellent lately and the weekend 25NL games are playing like the weekday 5NL games. I need to buy a bigger net for all the money being thrown at me.

I haven't taken very good notes on the regs that I have several thousand hands on over the past couple months. I don't even recognize some of them when I look through my database. So now I'm making a point of going through HEM every day and creating a detailed profile on a couple of regs that I see all the time. I debated a lot over whether this was a good use of time considering that there are so many fish out there that detailed notes on regs other than just stuff like "reg," "avoid," "2p2" etc. that I don't really need to worry about the regs. I decided it is a good idea because a lot of them at this level actually have huge leaks. If I ever want to move up, I'm going to have to be able to beat more and more regs so I might as well start now and learn to beat them and exploit their leaks rather than take the easy (lazy) route of passing up some decently +EV situations to avoid a reg war.

I've adapted my game to be a bit more exploitive rather than optimal. I am starting to take some mega weird exploitive lines once in a while when a situation warrants it if I notice a specific leak in a certain player's game instead of playing XxXx the optimal way against an x/y/z opponent with an abc textured board. This seems to be a bit more of a risk for me because if I'm wrong I'll often lose a good deal of my stack or totally wreck my image to the point that I'm not sure how they or the rest of the table will react anymore, but the payoffs can be so much bigger, too. I think I am starting to get to the point of trusting my reads enough to make this happen though, so we'll see how it works out.

And I believe this also serves to totally screw with the other regs that are going through their DBs and trying to make notes on me. I don't think Shania is that important at 25NL if at all, but I'm guessing that I'll continue to see some of the same regs over and over as I move up and their 25NL DB continues into 50NL and their 100NL DB continues when they move up to 200NL.

Oh I forgot to mention the past couple of days that the 10NL video I made unfortunately crashed on rendering and I'm not sure how to get it back or if I can. I'll try to make another one possibly this week, although this week will be quite busy for me.

US government bailouts - LOLtheFED

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I thought this deserved it's own post so I moved it. This kind of stuff just makes me kind of pissed off and it's not even in my own country. So sad to see how uninformed people are to the workings of their own government and national financial systems.

I just saw on CNN that the US federal government is now set to take over $10s of billions in bad mortgages (Edit: it is now confirmed that Bush is asking for a whopping $700 billion). Wow. This is what happens when you let a private group of banks aka The Federal Reserve control the nation's currency (misleading name 'eh? Nothing Federal about it and nothing in Reserve to back up the currency).

Just so you know, private banks generally try to make themselves money, not protect the public interest. And then you get the moral hazard effect because you have banks bailing themselves out by printing money out of thin air and loaning it to themselves. They can take all sorts of crazy risks because the buck is always going to be passed on to the tax payer.

When they say on the news that the federal government is bailing out these banks and insurance groups what does this really mean? The federal government has no money to loan out besides what is supposedly in the treasury that is supposed to be used to run the government, military, and services they provide. In reality they borrow from the FED as well so it's oxymoronic to call this a government bailout when the government has no money to bail anyone out. This is a FED bailout, passing the debt on to the "government" ie. the tax payers.

Kind of weird how the banks can loan money out to the public and private corporations, screw up and lose it because they are reckless, print more money to cover losses and charge you the interest on the money they just created to bail themselves out. You wind up with the FED and the government saying, "National Debt? Inflation? How did that happen? We have to throw more money at it to avert financial disaster," like this totally blindsided them instead of actually fixing the system, ie. get rid of the FED and revert to the pre-1913 sound financial policy. I'd like to see the results of a poll asking people whether they think the FED is a federal government agency or a group of private banks. People don't listen:

"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation then by deflation, the banks and the corporations will grow up around them, will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs."
- Thomas Jefferson

Canadian Election Bonanza and Electric Cars: Round Eleventy1

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The Conservative Party has gone into their patented full swing 1 promise per day campaign. Some interesting ideas coming out. $750 rebate to first time home owners. $1000 more in tax free income for seniors.

And best of all: Maternity/Parental Leave for self employed people. Currently in Canada, if you are self employed and want to take some time off to start a family you have to save like mad or you are SOL. One thing they should really be looking at though is the outright fradulant charging of mandatory Employment Insurance premiums on part-time workers' wages, but denying them benefits if they lose their job because they don't qualify. LOL is all I have to say to that.

The NDP are promising to throw money at things and to set up rediculous social beurocratic programs like usual: $1 billion for more doctors, $1 billion for home care, ad nauseum.

The Liberals are just trying to get off the ground. Literally. They have had a lot of trouble with their leased campaign jet. That and the Green Shift can't get off the ground either because no one, not even themselves, understand how it works, nevermind be able to explain it to voters. And good luck trying to sell a new tax as your platform for why we should vote Liberal. And $70 billion for infrastructure.

The one thing I don't get is why they throw around numbers for these massive projects and programs. What does $70 billion really buy you? Is this a lot or not much? I have no idea. I get the $750 rebate and the $1000 income tax free for seniors. Those are numbers that you can apply directly to your budget. But seriously $1 billion here, $70 billion there... this means nothing to me other than politicians throwing around the words million and billion and gajillion to grab attention. Wow, $1 billion, that's 40 million buyins... and completely ambiguos and irrelevant.

Oh and I'm also looking forward to this:
That's if the electric car doesn't get torpedoed again like it did in the 90s (GM's EV-1). They always act like this hasn't been done before. This documentary was very imformative: Who Killed the Electric Car


Edit: I just saw on CNN that the US federal government is now set to take over $10s of billions in bad mortgages. Wow. This is what happens when you let a private group of banks aka The Federal Reserve (misleading name 'eh?) control the nation's currency. Just so you know, private banks generally try to make themselves money, not protect the public interest. People don't listen though:

"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation then by deflation, the banks and the corporations will grow up around them, will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs."
- Thomas Jefferson

Another decent day

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Today went ok again. Finished up another 4 buyins: 2 at 6max and 2 at full ring. I had some interesting hands:

Hand #1 is my first orbit this morning at 6 max. This really reinforces just how light people will call you down in this game, and I had considered this guy to be fairly decent from my notes on him. I've been experimenting with the 3BB open in 6 max, it seems I get to see a lot of flops cheaper since I'm playing so many more spec hands than full ring, but still builds a pot and people generally still react to it the same way. The other nice thing is that it allows you to call a few more 3bets because their 3bets will tend to be a bit smaller so my implied odds are often ok to set mine or whatnot.


Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG: $22.45
Hero (CO): $26.55
BTN: $16.00
SB: $38.20
BB: $25.60

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with 3 3
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.75, 1 fold, SB calls $0.65, 1 fold

Flop: ($1.75) A 2 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB calls $1.25

Turn: ($4.25) 5 (2 players)
SB bets $4, Hero raises to $12, SB calls $8

River: ($28.25) 5 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $12.55 all in, SB calls $12.55

Final Pot: $53.35
Hero shows 3 3 (a full house, Threes full of Fives)
SB mucks A 6
Hero wins $51.35
(Rake: $2.00)

Hand #2 I got into this war with a 66/40/3 maniac. This is the 3rd consecutive hand that he's open minraised and I've 3bet him every time and he's folded the other 2 flops. I figured he was just tired of me doing this and that I should be way ahead or flipping. LOL wow was I wrong, preflop equity went from 7% to flop equity of 46%, then back down to 27% and then the beautiful river 5c.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $10.55
UTG: $14.90
UTG+1: $20.00
UTG+2: $17.70
MP1: $15.40
MP2: $23.80
CO: $24.30
Hero (BTN): $25.75
SB: $25.55

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with A K
4 folds, MP2 raises to $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.75, 2 folds, MP2 raises to $5, Hero raises to $25.75 all in, MP2 calls $18.80 all in

Flop: ($47.95) Q 2 T (2 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: ($47.95) A (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($47.95) 5 (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $47.95
MP2 shows A A (three of a kind, Aces)
Hero shows A K (a flush, Ace high)
Hero wins $45.60
(Rake: $2.35)

Hand #3 is against an uber fish that I figured would be chasing a lot of stuff and not folding pocket pairs so I'm betting for value and protection on the flop. These fish always slowplay these spots so he probably doesn't even put me on Qx if anything at all. Turn was the best card in the deck and I wanted to bet enough that he'd call and hopefully hit a flush draw. His shove on a blank river kind of made me go "Huh?" and fistpump-snap-call. 3 pair FTW.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $24.75
BB: $25.35
UTG: $15.00
UTG+1: $27.50
UTG+2: $18.40
MP1: $21.80
MP2: $24.20
Hero (CO): $46.60
BTN: $24.65

UTG posts a big blind ($0.25)
Pre Flop: ($0.60) Hero is CO with Q A
UTG checks, 1 fold, UTG+2 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 4 folds, UTG+2 calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.60) Q Q 8 (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $2.50, UTG+2 calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.60) A (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $3, UTG+2 calls $3

River: ($14.60) J (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $11.40 all in, Hero calls $11.40

Final Pot: $37.40
UTG+2 shows J 8 (two pair, Queens and Jacks)
Hero shows Q A (a full house, Queens full of Aces)
Hero wins $35.60
(Rake: $1.80)

Hand #4 Turn card was just gross because I knew he had a Tx hand. This makes it a clear fold, but for some reason I was thinking I had odds to fill up, which I believe I would if I had a set, but 2 pair only has 9% equity in this spot, lol. Fill up anyways vs the turned nuts.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: $39.95
Hero (BTN): $25.25
SB: $24.50
BB: $15.75
UTG: $5.80
UTG+1: $12.65
UTG+2: $14.95
MP1: $7.85
MP2: $28.75

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with Q J
2 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.25, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls $1

Flop: ($2.85) 9 J 8 (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $2, UTG+2 calls $2

Turn: ($6.85) Q (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $3.75, Hero calls $3.75

River: ($14.35) J (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $13.50, UTG+2 calls $7.95 all in

Final Pot: $30.25
Hero shows Q J (a full house, Jacks full of Queens)
UTG+2 mucks K T
Hero wins $28.80
(Rake: $1.45)

I also got into a reg war with one of the best 25NL full ring players on Stars. He runs in god-mode at 17 ptBB/100 over 5k hands. His 3bet stats are normal, but he always seems to be 3betting me specifically when he's on the button, so I thought I'd 4bet light with my 55 and spewed off a buyin. He always has it. Everytime. I should be practicing avoidance. I probably won't though since I now went through HEM stats on him in detail and I think I found some highly exploitable traits that might be good for multiple buyins.

So overall it was a highly successful day. Also get those votes in on the poll and leave comments! If you're not sure what they are, look them up. They will immensely improve your game.

Made some money - finally

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It's been pretty rough the last while - grinding for breakeven $0/hour.

Today worked out alright. Finished up 4 buyins and my non-SD winnings were actually on the plus side. From what I understand and based on my own graph, this does not happen very often in uFR due to all the calling stations you can't force off of hands.

Had one guy running 30/0/3 immediately to my left that was critiqueing every hand I showed down whether it was against him or not. I snapped off his bluff in BvB with AJo on AKKxx for 1/2 a buyin when he potted the river and proceeded to lecture me about why I should not be calling there, lol. He then tried 2 more bluffs for another 1.5 buyins and each time asked me how I could make those calls. Exploitable? This was the first time that I actually found chat to be +EV and I kept him going saying stuff like "now you're just calling my steals with anything to try to bust me, lol" etc. and he tilted quite hard when I snapped him off or he called and I had it. Very enjoyable.

Here's an example of the value of not shoving AA/KK preflop especially when villain's range is wide. If I shove here, he could easily fold, but by just calling I look weaker and he probably puts me on AK/JJ/QQ a lot of the time because KK+ would just shove right? No. This lets me get their whole stack with AA/KK even when they're 3 and 4 betting light a lot more. I obviously do this less with KK/QQ to avoid letting an Ace peel the flop, but it still works pretty good if you think their range is TT+ or some SCs because then a JJ overpair is never folding and they'll shove if they think you missed with your AK. Very important not to do this with deepstacks as getting the money gets tougher so aim for an SPR of 3 or 4 or less.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP1: $5.15
MP2: $24.70
CO: $26.35
BTN: $27.40
SB: $30.75
Hero (BB): $24.65
UTG: $13.05
UTG+1: $25.00
UTG+2: $42.15

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with A A
7 folds, SB raises to $1, Hero raises to $3.25, SB raises to $8, Hero calls $4.75

Flop: ($16.00) 8 6 3 (2 players)
SB bets $22.75 all in, Hero calls $16.65 all in

Turn: ($49.30) 7 (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($49.30) K (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $49.30
SB shows Q A (high card Ace)
Hero shows A A (a pair of Aces)
Hero wins $46.90
(Rake: $2.40)

Another fun hand. This shows the importance of pushing your strong hands fast, especially against calling stations. If he's got nothing he's folding anyways and this actually looks weaker and more like a top pair hand than if I check-raise so he's more likely to call down with his top pair and let me control the betting. It also sucks if you check the flop and a 3 flush hits the turn, because your action is going to slow way down.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP1: $22.05
MP2: $6.65
CO: $25.95
BTN: $5.50
Hero (SB): $28.25
BB: $15.00
UTG: $11.80
UTG+1: $17.15

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with 7 7
UTG calls $0.25, UTG+1 calls $0.25, 1 fold, MP2 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.15, BB checks

Flop: ($1.25) Q 7 A (5 players)
Hero bets $1, BB folds, UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $1, MP2 folds

Turn: ($3.25) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $3, UTG+1 calls $3

River: ($9.25) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $24 all in, UTG+1 calls $12.90 all in

Final Pot: $35.05
Hero shows 7 7 (a full house, Sevens full of Threes)
UTG+1 mucks J A
Hero wins $33.35
(Rake: $1.70)

Hopefully this keeps up and I can salvage the month.

It continues...

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Intellidonks are pwning me pretty hard the past couple of days. I get 2 pot sized bets in and then they hit their 3-5 outer. So incredibly frustrating. I am down over 10 buyins in equity in hands where I've flopped top pair or an overpair this month and -8 buyins in equity when I have those hands on the turn. People just keep catching turn and river cards that make weird 2 pairs or catch flush and straight draws when stacks aren't even near big enough to justify for implied odds - constantly - and I can't do anything about it. They call overbet shoves on the turn with bare flush draws. This SHOULD be equalling an increase in my bankroll. Sadly it is not.

I think I've been playing extremely well and have increased my skill and reading abilities immensely in the last month, but I'm still waiting to see the actual $ results rather than the Sklansky$ results.

I don't even need to run good. I just want to run average.

Steaks Poll Results

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Results from the poll regarding currently regular stakes of people that read this blog (8 votes):

2NL - 5NL 12%
10NL - 25NL 50%
50NL - 100NL 25%
200NL+ 12%

So I've decided to make a 10NL full ring video this week and a 25NL full ring video next week. Perhaps the week after that I can show you guys my week-tight 50NL game, lol.

This weeks poll: Which poker concept/theory has been most valuable to your game?

*In this case I would like to expand Zeebo Theorem to mean no one folds obvious monsters, not just full houses. ie. on 6789T no flush, no one ever folds Jx, so we shove our QJ.

If you've had any other "a-ha!" moments that you've found valuable, leave a comment for this post.

Back to 25NL full ring variance

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Played 1600 hands today for a whopping -10 ptBB/100. You know those days where you flop the current nuts and nothing holds and you get stacked and stacked and stacked by runner runner? That's the kind of day it's been. Today I've been getting KK and thinking here goes another stack.

I decided that for now 3 buyins is going to be my limit for a session. On reviewing my hands, I think I played extremely well today. It's just that everyone was catching their draws after I had bloated the pot with the near nuts or the actual nuts, and they shove their last 20BB in there and I'm getting 4:1 or whatever. Normally I don't quit due to a stop loss, but I think it might be helpful when I'm experiencing this much variance just to keep the self-confidence up. The last week has been a giant swong and I was at exactly +14 buyins, back to breakeven, then to +8 buyins, and back to breakeven again in the last 6 days. I thought July was bad but it was nothing compared to what I'm going through now.

A big part of it is I have increased my aggression a lot which also brings a lot of variance with it. I just have to be happy knowing that I am getting the majority or all of the money in when I am a significant favorite nearly every time at this level. And along with it I am getting a ton of action with my monsters. I just need to run average and I'll be killing 25NL again.

This hand basically sums up my day:

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG: $19.90
UTG+1: $4.65
MP: $11.65
CO: $5.00
Hero (BTN): $26.75
SB: $21.20
BB: $15.80

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with T A
UTG calls $0.25, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG calls $1

Flop: ($4.00) T A 4 (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $3, SB calls $3, UTG folds

Turn: ($10.00) Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $6, SB raises to $12, Hero raises to $22.50 all in, SB calls $4.95 all in

River: ($43.90) 6 (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $43.90
Hero mucks T A
SB shows Q A (two pair, Aces and Queens)
SB wins $41.75
(Rake: $2.15)

Some weekend 100NL

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I played 100NL for ~1000 hands today. Was doing actually quite well until the following hand:

This guy is a reg apparently. He's sitting at 4 of my tables and is quite TAGish and a bit more aggressive than the normal TAG that I've encountered but this is a small sample size. He seems to be quite competant. I'm obviously never shoving here without the Ks.

Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $169.15
BB: $103.55
UTG: $83.65
UTG+1: $96.50
UTG+2: $68.55
MP1: $67.95
Hero (MP2): $107.40
CO: $57.20
BTN: $85.25

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP2 with K K
4 folds, Hero raises to $4, 3 folds, BB calls $3

Flop: ($8.50) Q 8 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6, BB raises to $32, Hero raises to $103.40 all in, BB calls $67.55 all in

Turn: ($207.60) 3 (2 players - 2 are all in)

River:
($207.60) 2 (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $207.60
BB shows 8 8 (a full house, Eights full of Deuces)
Hero mucks K K
BB wins $204.60
(Rake: $3.00)

I think I played this hand ok. His overbet looked a little bluffy I guess. Any comments would be appreciated.

I also found a nice 75/35/4 fish to beat up on. He was 2 seats to my left and kept betting every time I showed weakness. I think he was getting really tired of me running 30/20 due to catching cards and always having it. Here's a couple of hands with him:

Hand #1 I think this really pissed him off that he couldn't get me to fold middle pair. He basically has lol2cards and thinks he can push anyone around. I'm making smaller bets here sort of as a blocker/bluff inducer with the plan that I'm not folding unless a Q, K, or A hits. Keeps the pot a bit smaller, but might induce a bluff as well since he has to figure I don't have much, and he's right. So I'm playing as if I know that he knows what I have =P

Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP1: $101.90
Hero (MP2): $119.30
CO: $100.00
BTN: $110.05
SB: $101.60
BB: $100.00
UTG: $18.50
UTG+1: $44.90

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP2 with 7 7
3 folds, Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, BTN calls $3, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.50) 4 8 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $4, BTN calls $4

Turn: ($15.50) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, BTN raises to $15, Hero calls $8

River: ($45.50) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $26, Hero calls $26

Final Pot: $97.50
Hero shows 7 7 (a pair of Sevens)
BTN shows T K (high card King)
Hero wins $94.50
(Rake: $3.00)

Hand #2 I'm never folding QQ against this guy. He would have easily folded everything but JJ+ and AK had I 4bet him PF here. Since he's only got 70 BB, it's going to be easy getting it in anyways with a $20 pot on the flop. Since he's so aggro I'm sure he's going to be cbetting anything at which point he's pot committed so there's no point in donking into him here and I think CRAI is the best line.

Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG+1: $79.50
Hero (MP1): $183.95
MP2: $100.00
CO: $69.70
BTN: $101.10
SB: $97.50
BB: $22.00
UTG: $44.90

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP1 with Q Q
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, Hero raises to $5, 1 fold, CO raises to $10, 4 folds, Hero calls $5

Flop: ($22.50) 8 6 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $15, Hero raises to $164, CO calls $44.70 all in

Turn: ($141.90) J (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($141.90) 8 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $141.90
Hero shows Q Q (two pair, Queens and Eights)
CO mucks 5 7
Hero wins $138.90
(Rake: $3.00)

So I finished the session at 3 ptBB/100 which isn't at all bad.

I think some 100NL mixed in until I can finally move up permanently is going to help with my goal of squeezing into Supernova by the end of the year. If I stick with my 18 tabling 25NL, I'm going to be about 16k VPPs short at the end of December. I think putting in weekends at 100NL for now at least will close that gap and I will probably have a good week in December to really put the hours in over Christmas holidays.

I have decided to make a 10NL video this week. I used to play a nitty 10/6 game here when I was "crushing" it for 5 ptBB/100 so it'll be interesting to see how the games play now. I haven't played there on a long term basis since January or February iirc. I'll probably end up running something like 18/14 trying to hold myself back and could very well end up with a negative winrate when I go overboard with the iso raising, lol, since 1/2+ the people at the table are worth isolating. I would like to 4 or 6 table these. My 6 table layout is similar to Split Suit's layout in his videos.

I'm not an expert or anything by any means. But I know people love watching videos regardless of who they are made by, I hope anyways! So take any advice I give or lines I take with a grain of salt. I hope to have it up by Friday and you'll be able to download it via megaupload.

Playing 6 max to reduce variance

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I played some 25NL 6 max yesterday to reduce the variance I was experiencing at full ring... not actually, but I just needed to play something else yesterday instead of getting back on that full ring bicycle. Play was surprisingly bad and I finished up 6 buyins.

Some interesting hands:

Hand #1 is just hilarious in my opinion. The funny thing is that this only has to work a very small % of the time for it to be much more +EV than a normal sized raise.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BTN: $36.60
SB: $32.15
Hero (BB): $26.00
UTG: $25.00
MP: $9.65
CO: $22.15

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with J Q
4 folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero checks

Flop: ($0.50) A 4 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($0.50) T (2 players)
SB bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25

River: ($1.00) K (2 players)
SB bets $0.25, Hero raises to $25.50 all in, SB calls $25.25

Final Pot: $52.00
SB mucks A 7
Hero shows J Q (a straight, Ten to Ace)
Hero wins $49.45
(Rake: $2.55)

Hand #2 I actually thought I had 99 here, I had 99 on the table stacked below it and I thought I had a set until the turn. A bit risky not raising the flop or turn here, but I fold out everything I beat if I do. Only hands I'm worried about are 55 and QJ and that's too narrow to fold. He was a bit aggro so I thought he might keep betting if I just called.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG: $22.55
MP: $25.60
CO: $29.15
Hero (BTN): $28.70
SB: $33.15
BB: $7.35

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with T 9
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, UTG calls $1

Flop: ($2.85) 5 T 9 (2 players)
UTG bets $2, Hero calls $2

Turn: ($6.85) 8 (2 players)
UTG bets $4.25, Hero calls $4.25

River: ($15.35) 3 (2 players)
UTG bets $15.05 all in, Hero calls $15.05

Final Pot: $45.45
UTG shows Q 9 (a pair of Nines)
Hero shows T 9 (two pair, Tens and Nines)
Hero wins $43.25
(Rake: $2.20)

Hand #3 is also kind of lol. This station is calling me down until the river when he improves to 3 pairs no kicker and I improve to 2 pair Q kicker. Then he decides to bet.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BTN: $16.00
SB: $22.70
Hero (BB): $39.70
UTG: $11.65
MP: $21.40
CO: $15.90

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with Q A
UTG calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, 2 folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero raises to $2, 1 fold, MP calls $1.75, 1 fold

Flop: ($4.50) T 2 A (2 players)
Hero bets $3, MP calls $3

Turn: ($10.50) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $6.50, MP calls $6.50

River: ($23.50) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $9.90 all in, Hero calls $9.90

Final Pot: $43.30
Hero shows Q A (two pair, Aces and Fives - Queen kicker)
MP shows 2 A (two pair, Aces and Fives)
Hero wins $41.20
(Rake: $2.10)

Hand #4 My initial read was that he's got at least top pair here. I put him on AT+/JJ/KJ. I thought he might fold out the worst of those hands if I bet the turn but that they would probably be worth a river c/c. I obviously take JJ out of the range on the turn. I think my line is really weird and bluffy by checking back the turn and making the slight overbet on the river. I'm finding that against thinking opponents, if I make my bet something like $7.75 or $8.50 they must think I'm looking for a call by making the bet look smaller - kind of like how my McGriddles are $2.99 instead of $3. Conversely the big round $10 in 2x $5 chips looks like I want him to fold. I don't know if this is true, just an idea, he took a lot of time before making the call.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG: $49.95
Hero (CO): $30.60
BTN: $25.00
SB: $46.80
BB: $26.10

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with A K
1 fold, Hero raises to $1, BTN calls $1, SB calls $0.90, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.25) A J K (3 players)
SB bets $3, Hero calls $3, BTN folds

Turn: ($9.25) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($9.25) 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $10, SB calls $10

Final Pot: $29.25
Hero shows A K (a full house, Kings full of Aces)
SB mucks J A
Hero wins $27.85
(Rake: $1.40)

I might go back to the full ring grind today, but I think I'll try to mix in some more 6 max into my game. They are just awful and it is really helping me work on my positional game and hand reading.

Run bad / play bad, idk

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Had a nice little 10 buyin downswing tonight. I'm not really sure what to think about that right now. I hate weekends. I should really just not play between Friday and Sunday but for some reason I believe the theory that they make more mistakes and this should equal more profit for me. But I run bad and get coolered/sucked out on, and then I play bad and spew some more. 1/2 my profit for the month is gone now.

I'm 6 buyins below expectation again today in all-in EV in 3k hands. I don't really know what I should do. I really really want to move up and make some decent money at this game, but at the same time I don't want to burn money by moving up cause I get run over every time I try. I have a bit of a dilema I guess.

Maybe $50 just seems like a lot of money to me considering that I only make $20/hour at my job. I think I need a complete re-tooling of my thought process because I see people stacking off so light like it's an easy decision in videos I watch but when I'm playing I'm always thinking they have the nuts. I tend to make a lot of second best hands with my strategy for some reason and lose a lot of medium sized pots, especially OOP. My bet sizing must also be whacked because I have a hell of a time trying to get people to fold even though my stats are quite nitty for most people I'm sure. I generally do not win pots without showdown if my cbet fails. This is a massive leak and I don't know how to fix it. I guess I'll try to tighten up again in MP so I'm not getting floated constantly by button seats with ATC.

I need to stop being a nit but I can't figure out how. I am currently running at 18/13 which is not nitty, and it's nice when I'm catching cards, but the variance is so huge compared to what I'm used to so I go back to my 13/10 self as soon as things start looking bad. This month has been a rollercoaster on the bankroll graph and it's really affecting me.

I feel I'm burned out and I should be taking a break but I've been working so hard at reading and re-reading some excellent books and working on my game and pacing myself to get Platinum again for next month that it would seem like such a waste. Days like today just completely drain the motivation right out of you though.

I'll just try to wake up tomorrow and restart my mind at $0. I'm not in the hole by any means.

Non-poker post: Canadian Politics

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So our election is well under way for the next government. For those of you outside the country, what basically happens in Canada is that we vote for a local representative to send to Ottawa. Whichever party ends up with the most reps in Parliament becomes the government and the leader of that party becomes Prime Minister.

Some highlights so far:
  • The Liberal Party is trying to figure out exactly what their Green Shift platform is exactly about. So far it's another tax on gas and diesel to get us to stop driving around. We don't exactly have another way of getting around out here in Western Canada, but hey, the Black $ Hole that is Ottawa knows best, maybe we'll get battery powered super bikes or something. They claim these taxes will be offset by reductions in business and income tax. LOL global warming, Kyoto, et al. I suppose our SUVs are also causing the global warming on Mars? Just my opinion.
  • The Conservative Party is actually going to reduce tax on diesel and jet fuel. Totally opposite of the Green Shift. They say that this will reduce costs on every product that gets shipped (everything) but we'll have to see if this cost reduction is actually passed on to the consumer or if business gobbles it up as profit.
  • The New Democratic Party is still shouting about their pie-in-the-sky utopia and that they are in fact the ones that have been fighting for the environment the longest. The Liberals have basically co-opted every NDP thought worth thinking and the NDP is not doing much besides splitting the left. Not much new there, everyone just tolerates them basically and says "there there."
  • The Green Party, who have never elected a member to Parliament yet, has been shut out of the soon to be televised debates. Debatable. They do have probably ~10% support across the country so maybe their leader should get a spot. The leaders of the other 4 parties have basically hijacked democracy and said they are not showing up if the Greens get a spot in the debate. I say, run the debate, let the Greens in, have 5 podiums and let whoever wants to show up. If there's 4 empty, that's their problem. They seriously can't be afraid of a party that's never won a single seat. Not sure exactly what the Greens are all about except that they are another environmental gung-ho party.
  • For some reason the Bloc is still considered a national party even though they only run in Quebec. For some reason they are also still considered a party instead of traitors to the country. I guess Constitutional over-representation in Parliament is not enough. Oh well. What can you say for Canadian appeasement...
  • Also very hilarious. Background: Last election, the Conservatives promised to start giving out $100 every month to the parents of every child under age 6 with the idea that it be used for childcare. If a parent stayed home, they keep the $100 and do whatever with it. If they go to daycare, they could spend it on that. Free money, well... our tax money given back to us. And they came through and I'm getting a check now for that. But, the Liberals at the time said that the public (us irresponsible parents across Canada) would waste the $100 on "Beer and Popcorn." Wow. Nothing like telling us we can't manage our own money when they blow it on all sorts of useless stuff in Ottawa. Anyways, now the Liberals like the idea so much that they are campaigning saying they will DOUBLE it to $200. Lol Wut? More beer and popcorn in my opinion.
We actually just had legislation passed last year, which was the Prime Minister's idea, that would have set election dates in Canada, similar to the US and was set for October 2009. The idea was that the opposition would still be able to defeat the government and at that point we could have an election outside the legislated time frame, but that the Prime Minister couldn't call snap-elections whenever he felt like he had the advantage.

Well, turns out there's a massive loophole you can drive a campaign bus through. There is no way to write out the Governor General's privilege of disolving parliament. The GG is basically the Queen of England's rep in Canada, a very outdated symbolic position and we pay A LOT of money to keep up this antiquated tradition. We used to have to get the Queen's permission for everything, even after we became a country - no outright revolution here. So yeah, the PM goes and "asks" the GG to disolve Parliament (even though she actually doesn't do anything but spend money on trips around the world and really has no say in anything) whenever he feels like it and then we get to vote. Kind of totally sidesteps his whole idea...

We basically need a rewrite of the Constitution to write out the monarchy et al. But guess what, here comes the Bloc with a long, unreasonable list of demands if we try to do that. It basically consists of "gimmegimmegimmegimee." So it will never happen. Somebody seriously needs to call a whaaambulance for these guys.

So there's 3 leftist parties running on environmental issues, 1 right-wing party that sort of is but in reverse, and the other party is primarly based on the idea of Quebec leaving Canada even though the seperatists aren't really thinking about seperation that much anymore. I have no idea who to vote for. Would be nice if they had a spot added at the bottom of the ballot that said "none of the above" and counted these. I wonder if we'd have increased voter turnout? There's a few fringe parties out there as well such as the Canadian Action Party, Communist Party of Canada, and the Christian Heritage Party. I would prefer not to vote for any of these clowns without spoiling my ballot. A protest vote. That's what I want.

So that's my little politics/history rant for the day. I don't mean to offend anyone out there in my country if you happen to support any of these clowns. Just a little disgusted with the whole system.

Polls

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I'm going to start posting some polls to keep things interesting. I'll try to let them run weekly to then end of Sunday and post a new one on Monday. I'm kind of interested to see what levels the people that read my blog are playing at. I've grouped them into levels that I think are pretty similar to avoid a long list. So go ahead and vote!

I would also like to say congrats to SplitSuit for becoming a Stox coach! I am really looking forward to his videos. The ones he's posted on 2p2 are gold and Stox has not really even touched full ring videos at all. There's a few, but they are mostly at $2/$4 and $3/$6 so would be nice to see some 100NL videos.

Sleepy - Off to work

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Tables were pretty good last night. I decided I'm just going to play my nitty/aggro game again and stop getting into tough spots and post a win. Worked out alright for 6 buyins. I've been LAGing it up a bit lately, and although I'm getting my money in good by far the majority of the time the variance has just been -selfconfidenceEV.

It doesn't hurt that I was getting dealt QQ+ like they were on clearance sale either, lol, and they were holding. I've also realized the value of cold calling AA/KK in some spots. I gain absolutely nothing out of nits who raise JJ+ preflop and insta-fold JJ/QQ to 3bets when I'm a 80/20 favorite and this has been worth a few buyins lately. They're more than willing to stack off postflop with an overpair.

I'm thinking about making a 10NL or 25NL video. My original plan for this blog was to make one at each level, but I kind of forgot about that. I'll see if I can get one uploaded by Sunday.

Pissed Off

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I'm really really pissed off at poker variance right now. It has been biting me in the ass for 3 days now and I'm tired of cooler after cooler and seeing sets and getting minraised CONSTANTLY. And they do have sets, I'm not seeing monsters under the bed.

I don't understand this shit.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($25.30)
Hero (Button) ($24.65)
SB ($25.45)
BB ($25)
UTG ($50.45)
UTG+1 ($28.65)
MP1 ($28)
MP2 ($26.85)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, K
UTG raises to $0.75, 3 folds, CO calls $0.75, Hero raises to $3.75, 3 folds, CO raises to $25.30 (All-In), Hero calls $20.90 (All-In)

Flop: ($50.40) J, 3, 7 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: ($50.40) Q (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($50.40) 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $50.40 | Rake: $2.50
Hero mucked K, K (one pair, Kings).
CO had A, A (one pair, Aces).
Outcome: CO won $47.90


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP2 ($32.80)
MP3 ($27.25)
CO ($30.45)
Button ($28.35)
SB ($7.85)
BB ($11.30)
Hero (UTG) ($23.75)
UTG+1 ($28.60)
MP1 ($26.25)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10, 10
Hero raises to $1, UTG+1 raises to $3, MP1 calls $3, 6 folds, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($9.35) 10, 7, K (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $4.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $20.75 (All-In), UTG+1 calls $16.25

Turn: ($50.85) K (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($50.85) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $50.85 | Rake: $2.50
Hero had 10, 10 (full house, tens over Kings).
UTG+1 had K, A (full house, Kings over sevens).
Outcome: UTG+1 won $48.35


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 ($12.85)
Hero (CO) ($25)
Button ($48.90)
SB ($28.80)
BB ($45.70)
UTG ($18.95)
UTG+1 ($16.80)
MP1 ($26.20)
MP2 ($21.80)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K, A
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.25, MP1 raises to $1, MP2 calls $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $5, 4 folds, MP1 calls $4, MP2 calls $4

Flop: ($15.60) 3, A, 2 (3 players)
MP1 checks, MP2 bets $16.80 (All-In), Hero raises to $20 (All-In), 1 fold

Turn: ($49.20) 3 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($49.20) A (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $49.20 | Rake: $2.40
MP2 had 3, 3 (four of a kind, threes).
Hero mucked K, A (full house, Aces over threes).
Outcome: MP2 won $46.80


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($13.25)
Button ($8.90)
SB ($25.85)
BB ($22.95)
UTG ($18.80)
UTG+1 ($12.70)
MP1 ($27)
Hero (MP2) ($28.30)
MP3 ($14.20)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, A
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 5 folds, UTG raises to $4, Hero calls $2.75

Flop: ($8.35) 10, 5, 2 (2 players)
UTG bets $4, Hero raises to $19.75, UTG calls $10.80 (All-In)

Turn: ($37.95) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($37.95) 6 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $37.95 | Rake: $1.85
UTG had A, A (flush, Ace high).
Hero mucked A, A (one pair, Aces).
Outcome: UTG won $36.10


So yeah. I haven't stacked anyone in 3 days. Every opportunity I get to do so ends up like the hands above. Downswing is now at 10 buyins. So yeah, pretty pissed in general. That's pretty much my week so far. Good times!

ptBB / VPP+FPP Calculator

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I was bored at work a few days ago so I decided to make this ptBB/100 / VPP+FPP Calculator in MS Excel. I was tired of punching in the same calculations over and over on a calculator, so this makes it easy to see a lot of info at once by changing your variables. The VPP+FPP part is obviously for Stars.

Just enter your data in the white boxes, the coloured ones are labels and formulas. I just put in some estimates for VPP rates and have no idea if they are correct so you'll want to change these or your stakes if you play higher or have different VPP rates. Everything is calculated off your VPP multiplier and the variables you input for the "Hands / Hour / Table" and "Tables" fields.

I like to use it to figure out long term goals, like if I play 1040 hours for the year, just type in a 1040 hour session, etc etc. You can enter a specific VPP target and figure out how many hours that will take, and I've included some benchmark points for VPPs and FPPs for quick reference.

I posted a different one in the FR chat thread the other day, but this one is a little more polished and I toned down the gawdy colours. Any suggestions are appreciated, just post a comment. Enjoy!

Yeah! NOT Breakeven

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Yes this is still my blog. I changed the template because I'd like to start posting some more HHs and it wasn't working out so well on the black one with spades and clubs - it looked so messy. Leave a comment if you find the blue easier/harder to read. I've also added Happy Pixel's blog to my list. From what I've read of his blog and his posts on 2p2 so far, he seems to be in the same spot as me: in the process of moving to 50NL.

Finally decided enough is enough: I'm going to have a winning session and swong myself back up! Positive thinking = run hot. If only there were a real technique for this =) I actually did manage to swong myself back up though.

Got away from this VERY cheaply. Not sure exactly what villain is thinking, but he's running 65/25/1 and not raising AA? Weird. I suppose the strategy is to limp the top 40% of his range and raise the bottom 25% and then just call down postflop ;)

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($26.15)
MP2 ($24.65)
CO ($22.55)
Button ($24.05)
SB ($15.50)
BB ($7.95)
UTG ($5.25)
Hero (UTG+1) ($25.55)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K, K
1 fold, Hero raises to $1, 4 folds, SB calls $0.90, 1 fold

Flop: ($2.25) 6, 6, 9 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.25) 4 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3, SB calls $3

River: ($11.25) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Total pot: $11.25 | Rake: $0.55
SB had A, A (two pair, Aces and sixes).
Hero mucked K, K (two pair, Kings and sixes).


I also came to a new conclusion that cbet stats are overrated thanks to ship_it_trebek. He was basically saying in the FR chat forum that we should be looking for boards to cbet rather than at cbet stats. I tried a couple of sessions without them and noticed I was thinking through hands a lot better and not spewing on wet boards as much. There is absolutely no point in cbetting a QJ9ss flop against almost anyone regardless of stats unless you hit it pretty hard or you have an ultra-weak-tight villain. To summarize: cbet stats are over-rated, texture is under-rated.

I had also been targeting TAGs who have high-ish fold to cbet stats, but who I don't really want to play with because some are capable of playing back and putting me in tough spots. Thanks to this idea and NLTAP, I've tailored my game a bit to target weak-tighties and loose-passives to steal pots from on good flops and turns and I'd like to think this is responsible for the 1 day swong back to the highest point on my graph for the month.

In other news, the Prime Minister asked the GG to disolve parliament and called an election this morning. Weird how the US can campaign non-stop for 2 years, but here in Canada, the PM calls an election and we vote within 40 days. Also weird how he comes up with an idea of fixed election dates so the PM can't pick an election date, then sidesteps his own legislation through a massive loophole rendering the legislation irrelevant...

Stephen vs. Stephane vs. Jack and Gilles. Let the snooze-fest begin - and I'm a politics nut.

Breakeven

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10k hands breakeven again. These are starting to wear on me, they occur so often. I can even pinpoint when they are going to happen:

1. run card dead.
2. get frustrated.
3. force hands.
4. a) 4-5 buyin downswing.
4. b) massive coolers, ie. me getting lots of decent 2nd best hands, which I think are monsters at this point.
5. tilt another 2 buyins.
6. regain composure.
7. swong back up 6 buyins.
8. run real breakeven - graph is horizontal.
9. ??????
10. rinse and repeat.

I need to break this cycle. I suppose I should stop at #3. Running slowly downhill is much better than jumping off cliffs. I'm going to try to cut this one short instead of letting it go 20-30k hands again.

Might make it back to Platinum for next month. I've put in over 15k hands already and I'm about 1/4 of the way there.

I've been tired lately too, maybe that's part of it. Should go to bed.

August Results

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August turned out alright with a nice upswing at the end of the month. I played some 50NL, but mostly stuck with 25NL again. The table dynamic at 50NL just doesn't seem to work with my game and I am actually finding 100NL much easier so I'll probably just continue to play 25NL and take shots at 100NL more often now, maybe a few times a week until I'm comfortable enought to play there regularly. The game just seems so much more straightforward from my experience.

Holdem Manager is working out great and I'll have to upgrade to the high stakes version to use it at 100NL so I'll be doing that soon.




I realized I hadn't posted a picture of my daughter since she was born. She's 6 months now and growing up way too fast. Time sure flies. She's sitting up on her own now and will probably be crawling in the next couple of weeks from the looks of it. Good times!


No, we can't do anything about the hair, lol. It has a mind of it's own.