I haven't posted in a while. I've been having a pretty sick breakeven stretch of 45k hands, which has turned into a downswing in the last 5k. I don't know what's going on. Going over my hand histories, in pots that are 40BB+ I am making the correct decision 65% of the time, yet I am just running horribly awefully bad.
My sessions pretty much are me taking down some pots on the flop with top pair type hands and I slowly build up a nice stack of about 150BB. Then I get involved in a big pot where I'm usually around a 75% favorite with a set or an overpair vs. a draw or overpair and BAM I'm down to 50BB. Sets are only holding out just under 60% of the time and my overpairs are getting cracked all over the place. I feel like they can see the rest of the community cards before they're out, lol.
Checked out my stats from January and compared them to the last 2.5 weeks that this has been going on and I can't find the difference. The only thing is my agression has gone up from 2.0 to 2.5 and that's about it, which is actually a good thing. I reread Theory of Poker at the start of this breakeven stretch and maybe I'm trying stuff that was in the book that is not working out.
I think I just need to take a break. I cashed out so I won't play anymore until I feel a little more confident again. On the bright side I ran my KK into AA 2 times and lost with KK to JJ today - all in preflop on all 3 - within a span of 150 hands and I did not tilt.