So I tried this out today in 6 max at the 2NL tables on Stars - my experiment level - and finished exactly breakeven over 500 hands running at 40/30, something that is completely foreign to me. I actually played 1/2 of my hands on the button and cut off - weird. I think this is going to work with some practice. What is happening and what I hadn't really thought of before is that by making slightly -EV plays preflop and in small pots, you increase the value of your +EV plays by so much more in large pots, especially against the TAGs and the HUDbots who will either misinterpret your stats or get tired of you raising and playing so many hands. I think this most resembles Daniel Negreanu's style of play, lots of pots and lots of small ball play. When they come back at you you know they have a hand for the most part unless they've figured you out (at which point you can switch gears) and they commit a lot of chips to find out if you have a nut hand or not.
I would have finished up quite a bit in terms of BB if it weren't for this hand and a couple others. It's a bad beat obviously, but it demonstrates just how light you can expect to be called down and this is the situation I want to put myself in every time. This guy had been calling me down with 2nd pair a lot and since he bet 1/5 of his stack, I figured a min raise would pot commit him with anything he's opening with, with a smaller chance of pushing him out. He'd be c/r with a set here I think, so I put him on a draw or 2 overs or a bare 7. Notice how he overplays a hand that beats nothing but a bluff - which he obviously thought I was. Great hand history converter by the way:
Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter
MP: $1.32
CO: $1.09
Hero (BTN): $5.78
SB: $1.19
BB: $1.89
UTG: $2.47
Pre-Flop: K
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UTG folds, MP calls $0.02, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.08, SB folds, BB calls $0.06, MP calls $0.06
Flop: ($0.25) 2
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BB checks, MP bets $0.50, Hero raises to $1, BB folds, MP calls $0.50
Turn: ($2.25) Q
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MP checks, Hero bets $0.25, MP calls $0.24 and is All-In
River: ($2.73) 6
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Results: $2.73 Pot ($0.10 Rake)
MP showed 6
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Hero mucked K
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