Thursday 25 December 2008

Merry Christmas!

Merry Christmas everyone! I hope you're all having a great holiday and, if you live anywhere like I do, trying to stay warm =) I'm finally done work for the year and it's time to put in hardcore hours to get my Supernova in.

I worked the night shift this week and it was actually kind of nice for a change. I did a ton of thinking about my game and my thought process over the past 3 nights while I was working away and made some pretty significant changes to it after running a bunch of math and reading some interesting thoughts by a few different people.

I think what my problem was for the past few weeks has been that at 100NL, the days of stacking top pair or even 2 pair by some random like I did at 25NL are over, which means I have to find a way to exploit and adjust to that. I had been getting pushed around a ton with my 25NL game and it just wasn't working out. But I can't really stop people from trying to push me around because it's going to be a bigger risk than it's worth to do it and they might just not stop anyways, so I just let them take it to the extreme and make mistakes. I find that's the best way to exploit people - find their most likely characteristic and let them go too far with it while having a counterstrategy to fight back at the right times.

And I've come to the realization that CRAI is not the strongest line possible in this game. c/f is.

So the only times I was getting my money in decently were coinflip situations for the most part where it was monster draw vs. top pair or 2 pair - and we all know I am the worst person for flipping - and this resulted in some whacked out variance. I have since begun to get my money in as a 60%+ favorite again and I'm enjoying the results!

I did have the worst suckout I've ever laid out on anyone happen last night though, lol. Villain's a 57/20 superdonk and shoves something like every 6th flop he sees and 3bets/squeezes every 5th hand. Turns out he actually has something this time and I have 3% equity on the flop:

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP1: $108.50
MP2: $38.50
CO: $36.60
BTN: $70.65
SB: $60.30
BB: $18.15
UTG: $92.80
UTG+1: $98.45
Hero (UTG+2): $101.50

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is UTG+2 with K K
UTG raises to $4, 1 fold, Hero calls $4, MP1 calls $4, 5 folds

Flop: ($13.50) 3 5 2 (3 players)
UTG bets $12, Hero calls $12, MP1 raises to $104.50 all in, UTG folds, Hero calls $85.50 all in

Turn: ($220.50) 2 (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: ($220.50) K (2 players - 2 are all in)
Hero: Merry Christmas to me!

Final Pot: $220.50
MP1 mucks 4 6
Hero shows K K (a full house, Kings full of Deuces)
Hero wins $217.50
(Rake: $3.00)

4 comments:

  1. No you can not borrow my luckbox. It didn't come with much in it and I need all I can get =)

    But in any case, I'm way ahead of his range here and I'd call all day:

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    440,062,128 games 0.021 secs 20,955,339,428 games/sec

    Board:
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 71.744% 71.34% 00.40% 313952566 1764156.00 { KdKh }
    Hand 1: 28.256% 27.86% 00.40% 122581250 1764156.00 { 22+, A2s+, A2o+ }

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hey I found you blog to be very inspiring. Wanna link up? I'm a micro full ring grinder too :)

    ReplyDelete
  3. Sure thing! I'll add you to my blogroll -->

    ReplyDelete