* xposted from the uFR forum
Villain is 10/8 and running 6/6 in EP over 2500. Rate my river (and the rest of my reasoning). Good bluff? Spew? Only thing I'm sure about is FPS.
Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (SB): $50.00
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with Q Q
2 folds, UTG+2 raises to $2, 4 folds, Hero calls $1.75, 1 fold
Keep his range as wide as possible ldo.
Flop: ($4.50) 9 7 J (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $3, Hero calls $3
imo his range is PPs so this is WA/WB. I'm only worried about A's and K's peeling off for his whiffed AK at which point I plan to c/f so I don't really see a point in c/r since I'm crushed if he calls or raises.
Turn: ($10.50) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $7, Hero calls $7
changes nothing. There aren't any draws in his range except for exactly
AK and gutshots.
River: ($24.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $13, Hero raises to $38 all in
Was going to give this up if he trippled it but then noticed small bet and 4 to a straight. My shove still gives him 3:1. I don't think I ever win if I c/c again. So I turn my hand into a bluff and rep the T which he really can't ever have unless he has TT. Do I fold out KK+ and sets often enough considering the mountain of dead money in the pot?