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I decided that for now 3 buyins is going to be my limit for a session. On reviewing my hands, I think I played extremely well today. It's just that everyone was catching their draws after I had bloated the pot with the near nuts or the actual nuts, and they shove their last 20BB in there and I'm getting 4:1 or whatever. Normally I don't quit due to a stop loss, but I think it might be helpful when I'm experiencing this much variance just to keep the self-confidence up. The last week has been a giant swong and I was at exactly +14 buyins, back to breakeven, then to +8 buyins, and back to breakeven again in the last 6 days. I thought July was bad but it was nothing compared to what I'm going through now.
A big part of it is I have increased my aggression a lot which also brings a lot of variance with it. I just have to be happy knowing that I am getting the majority or all of the money in when I am a significant favorite nearly every time at this level. And along with it I am getting a ton of action with my monsters. I just need to run average and I'll be killing 25NL again.
This hand basically sums up my day:
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
UTG: $19.90
UTG+1: $4.65
MP: $11.65
CO: $5.00
Hero (BTN): $26.75
SB: $21.20
BB: $15.80
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with T
A
UTG calls $0.25, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG calls $1
Flop: ($4.00) T
A
4
(3 players)SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $3, SB calls $3, UTG folds
Turn: ($10.00) Q
(2 players)SB checks, Hero bets $6, SB raises to $12, Hero raises to $22.50 all in, SB calls $4.95 all in
River: ($43.90) 6
(2 players - 2 are all in)Final Pot: $43.90
Hero mucks T
ASB shows Q
A (two pair, Aces and Queens)SB wins $41.75
(Rake: $2.15)
on flop SB is not going to call your Cbet without an A, once you get called and the Q comes you should be looking to see a cheap showdown, not shove your stack in the middle with TP2k.
ReplyDeleteSick bump considering this hand is from September 2008 (2.5 years ago). I actually have 2 pair in this hand, not TP2K, which makes this an auto-stack off against absolutely everyone at 25NL considering the game dynamic and stack off ranges at the time.
ReplyDeleteThat said, if I actually had TP2K (AJ) against a non-reloading fish on this board, checking the turn for pot control knowing he has Ax or better would be a rather large mistake since there are way more worse Ax hands than better even in 2011.
Yes it kind of sucks and becomes thin when you get c/r, but with 2 pair getting 2:1 is more than enough if all he ever has is AQ, A4 and 44 2011 nit-fest ranges but the frequency of that happening pales in comparison to the times he c/c again with a worse Ax.
Getting to showdown is not a reason to take an action in and of itself. Equity and ranges are all that matter.